Serco Group Plc Stock Performance

SECCF Stock  USD 3.54  0.00  0.00%   
Serco Group has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.12, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Serco Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Serco Group is expected to be smaller as well. Serco Group plc right now has a risk of 1.57%. Please validate Serco Group total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Serco Group will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Serco Group plc are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable fundamental indicators, Serco Group is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow335.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-232.3 M
  

Serco Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  338.00  in Serco Group plc on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  16.00  from holding Serco Group plc or generate 4.73% return on investment over 90 days. Serco Group plc is currently producing 0.0892% returns and takes up 1.5726% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 14% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Serco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Serco Group is expected to generate 2.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Serco Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Serco Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.54 90 days 3.54 
about 20.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Serco Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.66 (This Serco Group plc probability density function shows the probability of Serco Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Serco Group has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Serco Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Serco Group plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Serco Group plc has an alpha of 0.0583, implying that it can generate a 0.0583 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Serco Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Serco Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Serco Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Serco Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.973.545.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.673.244.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.993.565.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.453.553.65
Details

Serco Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Serco Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Serco Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Serco Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Serco Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Serco Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Serco Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Serco Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Serco Group Fundamentals Growth

Serco Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Serco Group, and Serco Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Serco Pink Sheet performance.

About Serco Group Performance

By analyzing Serco Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Serco Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Serco Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Serco Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. Serco Group plc was founded in 1929 and is based in Hook, the United Kingdom. Serco Group operates under Specialty Business Services classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 57000 people.

Things to note about Serco Group plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Serco Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Serco Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Serco Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Serco Group's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Serco Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Serco Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Serco Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Serco Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Serco Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Serco Group's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Serco Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Serco Group's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Serco Group's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Serco Pink Sheet analysis

When running Serco Group's price analysis, check to measure Serco Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Serco Group is operating at the current time. Most of Serco Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Serco Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Serco Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Serco Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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